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Solving problem N3924 Bayesian probability theory

Solving problem N3924 Bayesian probability theory

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Product description

  • Two factories produce the same products, with the first producing 70% and the second 30%. Marriage of the first is 3%, the second is 12%. The sample taken at random turned out to be defective. What is the probability that it is made at the second plant?

Additional information

Detailed solution. Decorated in Microsoft Word 2003 (Quest decided to use the formula editor)